Fantasy Football

Tomlin’s Tips: 2019 Week 17 Football Bets


With the 2019 Week 17 football bets, you have to be careful. Week 17 is a complete crapshoot on who wants to play and who wants to golf or go to the beach.

Luckily there are enough games of teams that you know will care against teams that might not, to find some winners. As far as the bowls go we have had a solid start. The College Football Playoff is this weekend though, be ready for a ton of points.

As always, a simple disclaimer: sports betting should be entertainment. The 2019 Week 17 Football Bets: Tomlin’s Tips will not make you rich. Anyone with picks saying they can make you rich is a liar and I would bet against them. The 2019 Week 17 Football Bets: Tomlin’s Tips will be about having fun wagering on sports while trying to stay even or break a small profit.

So let’s get to the 2019 Week 17 Football Bets: Tomlin’s Tips. All of the information in the Week 17 Tomlin’s Tips is up to date as of December 27th.

NFL Week 17 Tomlin’s Tips

Best NFL Bets:  4-1 last week, 38-41-1 overall

Each week I will pick my five best bets for the NFL weekend.  This is similar to the most famous handicapping contest in the world, The Las Vegas Supercontest, where the winner gets around a million bucks.
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Philadelphia Eagles -3 at New York Giants

I am not lucky enough for the Giants to win this game.

Pittsburgh Steelers -2 at Baltimore Ravens

The Steelers need a win to get in the playoffs. The Ravens do not need anything. Mark Ingram and Lamar Jackson among others will not be in for the whole (if any) game. The Steelers slug out a 12-6 victory.

Indianapolis Colts -4 at Jacksonville Jaguars

With all of the background noise and drama in Jacksonville, I don’t know if I have ever seen a team less inclined to want to play. The Colts have fought hard all season and outside of a dud in New Orleans have come to compete every week. Indy getting to .500 will be seen as a solid season after losing their franchise quarterback in August.

Washington Redskins +12 at Dallas Cowboys

I mean, did you watch last week in Philly? The Cowboys have given up on Garrett. Their best receiver has leaked that he has issues with his quarterback. Their best defensive player called out the leadership. Do you want to lay two touchdowns with a team in that much turmoil?

New England Patriots -16.5 vs. Miami Dolphins

This is the type of game that Bill Belichick and Tom Brady thrive in. They know with a win that they get the first-round bye. That means that the entire team gets a week of rest already, so no reason to lighten up. The Dolphins had their overtime win last week as their last high point of the season. They will be walking zombies as they prepare their off-season plans.

Other Games Picked: 4-7 last week, 74-72 overall

I’ll put my picks in for all of NFL games. Some people are in pools where the pick every game each week. Home teams are in CAPS.

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NFL 10-Point Teaser of the Week: 0-1 last week, 12-5 overall

My brother and I’s favorite bet: you take 10 points extra either off or on the spread. You combine three different teams with the 10 extra points and all have to hit to win.

Eagles +7, Patriots -6.5, and Chargers/Chiefs OVER 33.5

The Eagles and Patriots both need wins to solidify positioning, playing teams with nothing to play for. The Kansas City/L.A. game will feature a lack of defense. Seems safe.

Game Total of the Week: 1-0 last week, 7-9 overall

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens, UNDER 37.5

The Ravens starters will not be playing and the Steelers will try to shorten the game to get a win and get out.

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College Best Bets: 4-4 last week, 51-48-1 overall

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Washington State Cougars vs. Air Force Falcons, OVER 70

Mike Leach is going to score but the Cougs will not stop anyone. Air Force’s offense is surprisingly prolific. This might reach 100.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish -3.5 vs. Iowa State Cyclones

I think we are going to see that the ACC was better than anyone thought. If you look at Notre Dame’s schedule, they had some solid wins. Two road losses to Georgia and Michigan are about as good of losses that a team can have. Iowa State is very inconsistent and was quite lucky in a couple of wins this year, Texas mainly.

LSU Tigers -13 vs. Oklahoma Sooners

LSU is going to score every time they touch the ball. Oklahoma has developed a penchant for turning the ball over and getting behind. This is NOT the game for that. Ed Orgeron is 14-2-1 against the spread against Top 10 teams not named Alabama.

Florida Gators -14 vs. Virginia Cavaliers

I retract my previous statement: Florida has the best two losses a team can have, losing at LSU and a coin flip game to Georgia. They were in both of those games and every other game since zero week was a blowout win for them. With a month to get their quarterback situation solid, they run away with this one.

Florida State Seminoles +3 vs. Arizona State Sun Devils

The Pac 12 is 4-17-1 against the spread and 1-9-1 as a favorite the last two years in bowls. They are 4-12 straight up in those games. Turmoil like Florida State has had can be ironed out in bowl practice where there is a stronger bond developed.

Wyoming Cowboys -7 vs. Georgia State Eagles

The Georgia State quarterback is playing through a torn ACL. Seriously. I’ll bet against that.

Alabama Crimson Tide -7 vs. Michigan Wolverines

This is all about recruiting and perception. The game means nothing, technically, as a secondary bowl game to the CFP. However Michigan is trying to delve into the level of recruits that Nick Saban has dominated. More importantly, if Saban puts up a dominant showing here, it will resonate the next couple of years should the CFP committee be looking at Bama to slide in the last spot.
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Oregon Ducks -2.5 vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Utah and Wisconsin are very similar teams. Run the ball behind big offensive lines and play solid defense. We just saw what Oregon was able to do against the Utes. Now Justin Herbert will have a primetime audition for the NFL scouts and sneak his way into the top 10 of the NFL Draft.

Georgia Bulldogs -5.5 vs. Baylor Bears

Baylor was the luckiest team in the country this year. They had four different games (Iowa St., Texas Tech, West Virginia, and TCU) that were judgment calls, missed field goals, or straight-up incorrect calls away from being losses. They are a 6-6 team that played a couple of good halves against Oklahoma. I don’t care who sits out for Georgia, they win this by two touchdowns.

Tennessee Volunteers -1.5 vs. Indiana Hoosiers

A note that also applies to the Bama/Michigan game: since 2015 the Big Ten is 3-9 straight up and 2-10 against the spread vs. the SEC in bowls. Indiana also feels like a team that’s happy to have a treat at the end of the season. Tennessee is a team that came on strong late and will look to build toward next season.

Other Bowl Games, 3-1 last week, 7-5 overall:

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  • North Carolina Tar Heels -4 vs. Temple Owls
  • Wake Forest Demon Deacons +4.5 vs. Michigan State Spartans
  • Texas A&M Aggies -4 vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys
  • Iowa Hawkeyes -1.5 vs. USC Trojans
  • Penn State -7 vs. Memphis Tigers
  • Clemson Tigers -2 vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
  • Western Michigan Broncos +3.5 vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
  • Illinois Fighting Illini +7 vs. California Golden Bears
  • Mississippi State Bulldogs -4 vs. Louisville Cardinals
  • Virginia Tech Hokies -2.5 vs. Kentucky Wildcats
  • Navy Midshipmen -2.5 vs. Kansas State Wildcats
  • Utah Utes -7 vs. Texas Longhorns
  • Auburn Tigers -7 vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers
  • Cincinnati Bearcats -7 vs. Boston College Eagles

That’s it for the 2019 Week 17 football bets in Tomlin’s Tips! Be sure to follow me on Twitter @Tomlin3 as my first podcast will launch next week!

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About Michael Tomlin

Michael Tomlin is an ESPY-nominated, former college football player who stays associated with the game through Fantasy Sports. He has been writing his personal blog,, for three years and it focuses on Fantasy Sports, as well as handicapping. He was born and raised in the DFW Metroplex, and he follows all of the Dallas teams, along with Texas Tech athletics and Manchester City F.C.

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