Fantasy Football

Tomlin’s Tips: 2019 Week 2 Football Bets


It was a solid starting week, especially in the NFL. Hopefully, 2019 Week 2 Football Bets, Tomlin’s Tips, can build the momentum into more of a profit!

Overall, if you took every pick that I gave then you went 12-12. So it was a slightly losing week when factoring in the vig on each bet. Although I was on the wrong end of a few really bad beats.

Last second touchdowns by both Texas A&M and Colorado (one which meant absolutely nothing) took my college bets from 4-2 to 2-4. I also would say that if the officials do not completely screw Michigan out of the fumble return for a touchdown, that game goes a completely different route.

In the NFL my only close call was with the 10-point teaser. We lost it because the Giants got completely outplayed, yet, they only failed to cover the tease by a half-point. All in all, I would say my best reads were good (I wouldn’t say the Dolphins were a ‘read’ but more of a trend).

As always, a simple disclaimer: sports betting should be entertainment. The Week 2 Tomlin’s Tips will not make you rich. Anyone with picks saying they can make you rich is a liar and I would bet against them. Week 2 Tomlin’s Tips will be about having fun wagering on sports while trying to stay even or break a small profit.

So let’s get to the Week 2 Tomlin’s Tips. All of the information in the Week 2 Tomlin’s Tips is up to date as of September 12th.

NFL Week 2 Tomlin’s Tips

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Best NFL Bets: 3-2 last week, 3-2 overall

Each week I will pick my five best bets for the NFL weekend.  This is similar to the most famous handicapping contest in the world, The Las Vegas Supercontest, where the winner gets around a million bucks.
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LIONS +3 over Chargers

You get a home underdog of a field goal. You also get a west coast team playing in the eastern time zone for a noon start. Now, Chargers’ tight end Hunter Henry joins their long list of injuries that include a starter in almost every position group. I also think that the Chargers get boosted for a 6-point win, when it was a closer, OT game. I think the Lions are getting downgraded a little for a strong outing with a backdoor cover/tie by Arizona.

RAMS -2.5 over Saints

The Rams looked super rusty last week, especially Goff. That seemed to be the trend with the quarterbacks/first-team offenses that did not get much, if any, work in the preseason. However, that should mean a stronger outing in Week 2. The Saints needed a near miracle to pull out a close win against Houston, at home. Now, they play a much stronger Rams’ team away from the friendly confines of the Superdome.

Vikings +3.5 over PACKERS

Is Green Bay’s defense that good or is Mitchell Trubisky that bad? I lean more towards the latter, at least during primetime games where his quarterback rating is less than half of his career average. Dalvin Cook looked fully healthy for the Vikings and I think they will use him better than the Bears used David Montgomery last week. Also, when in doubt, take Mike Zimmer, the highest cover percentage of any coach in NFL history (nearly 66%).

BRONCOS +2 over Bears

In the past 36 games that Denver has played at home in Weeks 1 and 2 of the regular season, they are 33-3 Straight up and 22-11-3 Against the Spread. That is a damning trend. If the Packers could get to and hassle Trubisky, what do you think Von Miller and Bradley Chubb will do?

FALCONS +2 over Eagles

If Case Keenum can throw for 380 yards against Philadelphia with a bunch of no name receivers, what do you think Matt Ryan and Julio Jones can do to them? Even though it is only Week 2, judging by how teams looked last week this is Atlanta’s easiest home game until Thanksgiving. Seven of their next eight are against teams that had winning records last season and eight teams either won or lost on the very last play last week. You just cannot start 0-2 against that upcoming stretch.

Other Games Picked: 7-3 last week, 7-3 overall

I’ll put my picks in for all other NFL games. Some people are in pools where the pick every game each week. Home teams are in CAPS.

Survivor Pool Plays: 1-0 last week, 1-0 overall

One of the most popular games now is survivor pools. You pick one winner, no spread, every week. You can never use the same team twice.
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Baltimore Ravens

We got a team that is absolutely rolling, at home, against a rookie quarterback making his first road start in the NFL? That sounds like a perfect survivor pool play to me. I get it if you feel safer with the Patriots. I’m just guessing that there will be a few more weeks where there won’t be another double-digit favor to go with when you will need New England.

Other Options: Patriots, Texans

NFL 10-Point Teaser of the Week: 0-1 last week, 0-1 overall

My brother and I’s favorite bet: you take 10 points extra either off or on the spread. You combine three different teams with the 10 extra points and all have to hit to win.

Patriots -9, Texans +1.5, and Falcons +12

While the spread is probably too high, the Patriots should take care of the Dolphins by double-digits. I think the Texans bounce back strongly after the gut-punch of a loss last week. Deshaun Watson looks even better this year than last year. I also don’t think that the Falcons will get blown out two weeks in a row to start the season.

Game Total of the Week: 0-1 last week, 0-1 overall

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Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons, OVER 50.5

Neither one of these defenses showed much promise last week. The Falcons got run over by Dalvin Cook and the Vikings. The Eagles gave up 380 yards passing and 27 points to Case Keenum and the Redskins. I think Matt Ryan gets back on track in a shootout Sunday night.

College Best Bets: 2-4 last week, 2-4 overall

Michigan St. Spartans -13.5 over Arizona St. Sun Devils

This is similar to my Clemson/Texas A&M handicap from last week. People are over-valuing last year’s game which was under completely different circumstances with different players. Arizona St. pulled off the upset last season, but that was in Tempe, with a 9:45 start and the temperature past the century mark. With the game in East Lansing and senior quarterback Brian Lewerke already looking more polished, I think the Spartans run away with this one.

Virginia Cavaliers -6.5 over Florida St. Seminoles

If you took these two teams as blind resumes, this spread would be at least twice the number. Virginia has dominated in a road conference game over a probable bowl team and took care of business blowing out a smaller school. Florida St. lost at home to a Mountain West  team and should have lost to Louisiana Monroe last week. Willie Taggert, coach of the ‘Noles, is 0-6 straight up and 1-5 against the spread as a road dog with Florida St. Five of those losses are by 18 points or more.
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Iowa St. Cyclones +3 over Iowa Hawkeyes

ESPN College Gameday makes their first ever appearance in Ames, Iowa this weekend. For those that are not aware, this is a huge deal. Time and time again we have seen a campus rise up and get behind their team when Gameday is in town. Think about Washington St. last year or my alma mater Texas Tech in 2008 against Texas. Then you factor in that Cyclones’ coach Matt Campbell is 9-2 ATS with three straight up wins as a home underdog, and I like Iowa St.

Central Florida Knights -8 over Stanford Cardinal

In a battle of differing styles, I think the UCF up-tempo offense will control the game. Stanford’s defense looked awful against a true freshman quarterback for USC last week. Now they get a UCF team that has not lost in the regular season since 2016. They have scored at least 31 points in every game since 2016 as well. I don’t think Stanford can keep up.

Charlotte 49ers -17 over Massachusetts Minutemen

Charlotte lost last week to Appalachian St. but the score was a little misleading. Appalachian St. had two special teams’ touchdowns as well as three other scores of 68 yards or longer. UMass lost to an FCS team by 25 points last week at home. An FCS team that is not even ranked at that level. Charlotte cruises as they march toward an unlikely bowl bid this year.

That’s it for the Week 2 Tomlin’s Tips! Be sure to check out our staff rankings!

About Michael Tomlin

Michael Tomlin is an ESPY-nominated, former college football player who stays associated with the game through Fantasy Sports. He has been writing his personal blog,, for three years and it focuses on Fantasy Sports, as well as handicapping. He was born and raised in the DFW Metroplex, and he follows all of the Dallas teams, along with Texas Tech athletics and Manchester City F.C.

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  1. Pingback: Tomlin’s Tips: 2019 Week 3 Football Bets - Fantasy Six Pack

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