Fantasy Football

Tomlin’s Tips: 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 11 Bets

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Once again I couldn’t gain any steam with my NFL best bets, but luckily my college picks are carrying a big profit heading into the 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 11 Bets.

I was completely screwed over by Nick Chubb not just finishing the touchdown run on one pick while a muffed punt got me on the San Francisco pick.

Bad beats happen to all of us though, so let’s just hope to avoid them with the 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 11 Bets.

As always, a simple disclaimer: sports betting should be entertainment. The 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 11 Bets will not make you rich. Anyone with picks saying they can make you rich is a liar and I would bet against them.

The 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 11 Bets will be about having fun wagering on sports while trying to stay even or break a small profit.

So let’s get to the picks!

All of the information is up to date as of November 19th.

Tomlin’s Tips: 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 11 Bets

Best NFL Bets: 1-3-1 last week, 21-27-1 season

Each week I will pick my five best bets for the NFL weekend. This is similar to the most famous handicapping contest in the world, The Las Vegas Supercontest, where the winner gets over a million bucks.
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Minnesota Vikings -7 vs. Dallas Cowboys

Let’s not get carried away with Dallas covering for the first time this season against Pittsburgh a couple of weeks ago. The Steelers sleep-walked that entire game and still pulled out a victory. There will be no sleepwalking by Minnesota, just a heavy dose of Dalvin Cook running past and through Jaylon Smith and Leighton Vander Esch.

Indianapolis Colts -2 vs. Green Bay Packers

This seems like the sucker bet of the year. In what world would washed-up Philip Rivers be favored over Aaron Rodgers playing at an MVP-level? If it seems too easy, go the other way.

Los Angeles Chargers -8.5 vs. New York Jets

Are the Chargers the best 2-7 team ever? Only two teams have yet to lose a game by more than seven points: the Steelers, who are undefeated and these Chargers.

Five of their close losses are to current playoff teams with a combined record of 34-12. One of the other losses was a frisky Denver team, a game that Los Angeles completely gave away. The only other time they played a truly bad team, they beat the Jaguars by double digits.
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Miami Dolphins -3 at Denver Broncos

Miami is fourth in the league in points per play, Denver is 28th. The Dolphins are also fourth in the league in opponents’ points per play, Denver is 22nd. Miami is the only team in the league to be in the Top-4 in both categories. Outside of their comeback against the Chargers, the Broncos have been pretty hapless for over a month. I think Tua keeps it going for Miami.

New Orleans Saints -4 vs. Atlanta Falcons

I think this spread has been lowered too much for the switch to Jameis Winston from Drew Brees. I actually believe that the team can be better off with Winston.

Everyone points to his turnovers in Tampa Bay, but that was part of the way the Bucs played with him. They told him to take chances so he did.

Now with a more complete team around him, and Michael Thomas/Alvin Kamara as his outlets, I think he will shine. The Falcons are last in the league giving up 6.5 yards per play, so his first test is rather easy.

Other NFL Games Picked: 7-2 last week, 52-44-1 season

I’ll put my picks in for all of the NFL games. Some people are in pools where they pick every game each week. Home teams are in CAPS.

RAVENS -6.5 over Titans

Cardinals +3.5 over SEAHAWKS

Eagles +4 over BROWNS

Lions +4.5 over PANTHERS

Patriots -1 over TEXANS


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Steelers -10 over JAGUARS

WASHINGTON -1.5 over Bengals

RAIDERS +9 over Chiefs

BUCCANEERS -3.5 over Rams

Survivor Pool Plays 1-0 last week, 9-1 season

One of the most popular games now is survivor pools. You pick one winner, no spread, every week. You can never use the same team twice.
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Los Angeles Chargers

There won’t be a better spot to use the Chargers than at home against the Jets.

Other Options:  Steelers, Vikings

NFL 10-Point Teaser of the Week: 0-1 last week, 7-3 season

My brother and I’s favorite bet: you take 10 points extra either off the spread or over/under. You combine three different sides with the 10 extra points and all have to hit to win.

Vikings +3, Chargers +1.5 and Saints/Falcons OVER 39

This is one of my favorite teases of the year. The Vikings and Chargers are near locks to win outright. Then the Saints/Falcons game should be a shootout and clear that number easily.

Game Total of the Week: 1-0 last week, 8-2 season

Minnesota Vikings vs. Dallas Cowboys, UNDER 50

The Cowboys are not going to score much here and I think that Minnesota will be able to run the ball all day long, shortening the game.

College Best Bets: 3-2 last week, 28-18-2 season

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Oklahoma Sooners -7 vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

The Sooners has won five straight in the series, and fifteen of the last seven against the Cowboys. Oklahoma is also 8-0-1 Against the Spread as a favorite of a touchdown or less in the last five seasons. They tend to play up or down to their competition in the regular season. They can lose as massive favorites, but when it’s supposed to be a close game they tend to run away with it.

Northwestern Wildcats +7.5 vs. Wisconsin Badgers

This line is built off of the perception that Wisconsin is a much better team than Northwestern because they win their games by more points. Doing the home field switch would make the Badgers nearly a two-touchdown favorite. The secret in plain sight is that the Wildcats do not try to win by large margins. They play tough defense, get a lead, and grind the clock out. Toss in the fact that Northwestern is 5-1 ATS and 3-3 SU in their last six against Wisconsin, and I love the Wildcats this week.

Washington State Cougars +3 at Stanford Cardinal

Why in the world is Stanford favored over anyone right now? If their name were “San Jose State” then this line would be at least flipped.

Let’s go back to our transitive property. Oregon is easily the class of the Pac-12. The Ducks beat Stanford by 21 and pretty much held a 3-touchdown lead the whole second half.

Washington State lost by just 14 last week to Oregon, but it was a single-score game until a late drive by the Ducks. Stanford is also 0-6 SU/ATS in their last six going back to last season, and 2-11 ATS in their last thirteen games. Take the Cougars on the moneyline here to win outright.
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Florida State Seminoles +35.5 vs. Clemson Tigers

Trevor Lawrence is coming back and I’m worried that he might press a little too hard against the ‘Noles.

As bad as Florida State has been, they have just one loss by more than 34 points this season. They even seem to step up against the best competition, beating fifth-ranked North Carolina and keeping it closer with fifth-ranked Notre Dame. Another thing to look at is the game total, just 63. That is not a high enough total for me to like a spread this high.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -5.5 vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers

I’m going to ride with Coastal Carolina yet again. I was spot on saying the spread was a touchdown short last week as the Teal Mullets covered by exactly a touchdown. I also said their defense would control the game which they did by giving up just six points.


Appalachian State is getting a little too much respect because of their recent history with this spread. The last time the Mountaineers beat a ranked team: 2007 at The Big House against Michigan. I think Coastal’s defense shows up big again and they run away with this one.


That’s it for the 2020 Week 11 Football bets. Check out our Fantasy Football rankings!

About Michael Tomlin

Michael Tomlin is an ESPY-nominated, former college football player who stays associated with the game through Fantasy Sports. He has been writing his personal blog, Dirkland.blogspot.com, for three years and it focuses on Fantasy Sports, as well as handicapping. He was born and raised in the DFW Metroplex, and he follows all of the Dallas teams, along with Texas Tech athletics and Manchester City F.C.

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