Tomlin’s Tips: 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 3 Bets

by Michael Tomlin
2021 Week 12 Football Bets

I said I felt good about the college slate last week and boy was I right! Now I just need to keep the confidence going with the 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 3 Bets!

My college picks were a sparkling 3-0-1 against the spread with one game canceled, covering by an average of SIXTEEN points. More importantly, I told you that I thought all of the dogs I was picking could win outright and three of them did. If you put half of your bet on the spread and half on the moneyline then you were up almost five full units! Or, if you bet $50 on each, you were up almost $500.

NFL wise, I was off on the Lions for sure and took a bad beat with the Steelers giving up the backdoor cover. However, I did nail the Las Vegas Raiders as a moneyline underdog that made the week profitable.

So let’s keep the momentum going with the 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 3 Bets!

As always, a simple disclaimer: sports betting should be entertainment. The 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 3 Bets will not make you rich. Anyone with picks saying they can make you rich is a liar and I would bet against them.

The 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 3 Bets will be about having fun wagering on sports while trying to stay even or break a small profit.

So let’s get to the picks!

All of the information is up to date as of September 24th.

Tomlin’s Tips: 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 3 Bets

Best NFL Bets: 2-3 last week, 5-5 season

Each week I will pick my five best bets for the NFL weekend. This is similar to the most famous handicapping contest in the world, The Las Vegas Supercontest, where the winner gets over a million bucks.

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New England Patriots -6.5 vs. Las Vegas Raiders

There’s going to be a trend with some of these plays: we are betting against the west coast team traveling to the east coast for the 10 a.m. Pacific start time. This has long been a trend that at worst evens out over the season, but the majority of the time it’s profitable. Well, this young season has this situation as 5-0 ATS for the west coast teams. Regression is coming. For this game, you also have a short week for the Raiders off of an emotional win in their first game at their new home. Bill Belichick is also 23-12 ATS after a loss over the past decade.

Buffalo Bills -2.5 vs. Los Angeles Rams

We have another west-to-east early start in Buffalo. There’s a greater than zero chance that the NFC East is just the worst division by far. If that’s the case, the Rams’ two wins are not as great as they seem right now and they are being overrated. At worst, I think these are even teams and Buffalo gets a situational advantage that is worth more than a field goal.

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New York Giants +4.5 vs. San Francisco 49ers

The last of my travel trifecta, San Francisco is in the worst spot of the west coast teams. After playing the Jets last week, this week they are at the Giants. Could you imagine staying in a hotel for almost a week then having to play a football game? They also are dealing with a massive amount of injuries that they are blaming on the Met Life field… which they have to play in again Sunday. Don’t you think that will be in their heads?

Philadelphia Eagles -4 vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Just one week ago the Browns were six-point favorites over the Bengals. If you could get the Browns -2 against Philly, how would you feel? Exactly. It’s put up or shut up time for the Eagles. There’s also a great chance that if they take care of business they will be tied for the division lead because…

Seattle Seahawks -4 vs. Dallas Cowboys

How much luck do the Cowboys have left after that comeback? Dak Prescott had the most empty 450-yard passing day in the history of the NFL. His timid decision-making and refusal to take chances downfield will not work against Mr. Unlimmmmmited who has been nearly perfect through two weeks.

Other NFL Games Picked: 6-5 last week, 12-9 season

I’ll put my picks in for all of the NFL games. Some people are in pools where they pick every game each week. Home teams are in CAPS.

Dolphins +3 over JAGUARS

STEELERS -5.5 over Texans

VIKINGS -2.5 over Titans

Washington +7.5 over BROWNS

FALCONS -3 over Bears

Jets +12 over COLTS

Panthers +7 over CHARGERS

CARDINALS -5.5 over Lions

Buccaneers -6 over BRONCOS

SAINTS -3 over Packers

RAVENS -3 over Chiefs

Survivor Pool Plays 1-0 last week, 1-1 season

One of the most popular games now is survivor pools. You pick one winner, no spread, every week. You can never use the same team twice.
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Philadelphia Eagles

I just don’t see this team starting 0-3.

Other Options: Colts, Browns, Patriots

NFL 10-Point Teaser of the Week: 1-0 last week, 2-0 season

My brother and I’s favorite bet: you take 10 points extra either off the spread or over/under. You combine three different sides with the 10 extra points and all have to hit to win.

Philadelphia +6, Baltimore +7, and Tampa Bay +4

See above on Philly. The Ravens/Chiefs game will be a last-score-wins affair so I will take the touchdown with the home team. Then you get Tom Brady to stay within a field goal of Jeff Driskel.

Game Total of the Week: 1-0 last week, 1-1 season

San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants UNDER 43

No Saquon Barkley. No Raheem Mostert. Jimmy G is questionable. Sterling Shepard is out. These two teams are about as injured as any I’ve seen in recent memory. This game will be ugly and I’m guessing the low-scoring kind of ugly.

College Best Bets: 3-0-1 last week, 5-3-1 season

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Texas Longhorns -17 at Texas Tech Raiders

I mean did anyone actually watch that Texas Tech/Houston Baptist game two weeks ago? Did y’all even look at the box score? The Red Raiders gave up 600 yards, 567 yards passing, 33 points, and needed to stop a 2-point conversion to avoid overtime against a middling FCS team at home. Now they get Sam Ehlinger chasing a Heisman against the weaker competition. Thank you, next.

Kansas Jayhawks +17.5 at Baylor Bears

I know, Kansas was dreadful a couple of weeks ago. But I am sticking with the trend that’s hitting over 70% this year with teams that have played a game already versus teams that haven’t. Baylor had their game with Houston canceled last week so they break into the season with a brand new coach this week. It feels rough but I think we just have to just bet the numbers. Additionally, who knows how many Bears will still be held out with COVID possibilities.

West Virginia Mountaineers +7.5 at Oklahoma State Cowboys

The Cowboys cost me quite a bit of money in teasers last week, but that was mainly due to their starting quarterback Spencer Sanders going down in the first quarter. Sanders was still in a boot as of Tuesday, so even if he plays this week he will be hobbled. For a dual-threat quarterback, I do not like him one dimensional.

Duke Blue Devils +6 at Virginia Cavaliers

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I must have a thing for the Blue Devils as I’ve picked their game each week. Last week I was spot on that they were a bad favorite as they lost outright by 20 points. However, I do think the total was misleading a bit because of some bad turnovers and missed field goals. Duke is back where I like them getting six points though against a Virginia team that has not played a game yet. So we have a live dog that has played twice against a team yet to play a game.

Army Black Knights +14.5 at Cincinnati Bearcats

Army is 8-1-1 against the spread as a 14-point dog the past few years. Now they are playing a Bearcats team that gave up 20 points and 140 yards rushing to 0-3 FCS Austin Peay. I think the small amount of possessions Saturday will make it really tough to beat the Black Knights by more than two touchdowns.

That’s it for the 2020 Week 3 Football bets. Be sure to check back next week!

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1 comment

Tomlin’s Tips: 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 4 Bets - Fantasy Six Pack October 2, 2020 - 6:31 am

[…] last week was not my best by any means, it feels comforting to go into the 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 4 Bets […]


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