Fantasy Football

Tomlin’s Tips: 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 6 Bets


Last week was arguably my best and most profitable week since starting Tomlin’s Tips. Now we have to keep the green coming with the 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 6 Bets.

My best bets overall were 10-3 last week. So if you bet $100 on each of my picks then you were up $670 over the weekend. Not too shabby if I do say so myself.

More importantly, I am drilling underdogs to win the game outright. I had Kansas State as one of my best bets of the year getting over a touchdown. I said they should be favored by that and that’s what they won by turning in a +335 profit.

So let’s get to the 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 6 Bets!

As always, a simple disclaimer: sports betting should be entertainment. The 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 6 Bets will not make you rich. Anyone with picks saying they can make you rich is a liar and I would bet against them.

The 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 6 Bets will be about having fun wagering on sports while trying to stay even or break a small profit.

So let’s get to the picks!

All of the information is up to date as of October 15th.

Tomlin’s Tips: 2020 NFL/NCAA Football Week 6 Bets

Get personalized Fantasy Football team advice – add/drops, trades, and who to start/sit using the Fantasy Pros MyPlaybook tool.

Best NFL Bets: 3-2 last week, 14-10 season

Each week I will pick my five best bets for the NFL weekend. This is similar to the most famous handicapping contest in the world, The Las Vegas Supercontest, where the winner gets over a million bucks.
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Los Angeles Rams -2.5 at San Francisco 49ers

If we look at just this season and forget that the 49ers went to the Super Bowl last season, where would San Francisco be power ranked? They have two wins over the two worst teams in the league from New York. They have three losses at home to teams that are not exactly world-beaters. The 4-1 Rams have a single 3-point road loss to a 4-1 team. Toss in the 49ers’ rash of injuries and quarterback trouble and I think this line should be closer to a touchdown.

New England Patriots -9.5 vs. Denver Broncos

I had the stat two weeks ago that I’ll update even though Cam Newton did not play: Bill Belichick is 48-16 ATS with extra rest. That’s a 75% cover percentage still. Cam Newton looks like he will be back this week. The Patriots’ two losses are to arguably the two best teams in the league. The Broncos’ only win is against the worst team in the league.

Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5 vs. Cleveland Browns

The Browns are being over-valued for their win against the Colts. They did this despite being out-gained in yards per play by over half a yard, turning the ball over twice, and rushing for just 3.8 yards per carry. They did this because we got “bad” Philip Rivers. What’s not bad is the Pittsburgh defense. Outside of the fluky Miles Sanders long run Sunday, the Steelers have given up just 182 yards rushing on 2.39 yards per carry over the rest of the four games. If the Browns cannot run the ball at all, then they depend on Baker Mayfield to win the game. The Steelers lead the league in sacks per game and will get Mayfield plenty of times Sunday.
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Green Bay Packers PK at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers have been relying on their outstanding pass rush to fuel their above-average defense. The key component of that pass rush, Vita Vea, is now on IR. The Buccaneers also have cluster injuries at wide receiver. So Tampa Bay will not be able to pressure Aaron Rodgers, their offense will be somewhat limited to keep up. On top of that, Rodgers gets back one of the best receivers on the planet who has a huge chip on his shoulder.

Tennessee Titans -3 vs. Houston Texans

What am I missing here? The undefeated team is hosting the team that is 1-4 (with a super lucky win) and just fired their coach, but the spread is only three? It sure feels like a sucker bet, but call me a sucker because I can’t pass it up.

Other NFL Games Picked: 4-6 last week, 25-26-1 season

I’ll put my picks in for all of the NFL games. Some people are in pools where they pick every game each week. Home teams are in CAPS.

PANTHERS -1.5 over Bears

Lions -3 over JAGUARS

VIKINGS -3 over Falcons

Washington +2 over GIANTS

EAGLES +7.5 over Ravens

COLTS -7 over Bengals

DOLPHINS -8 over Jets

COWBOYS +2 over Cardinals

BILLS +4 over Chiefs

Survivor Pool Plays 1-0 last week, 4-1 season

One of the most popular games now is survivor pools. You pick one winner, no spread, every week. You can never use the same team twice.
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Miami Dolphins

To win a survivor pool you have to take some teams that you don’t feel comfortable with. Well this year, make sure that those teams are playing at home against the Jets or Giants.

Other Options: Baltimore, New England, Indianapolis  

NFL 10-Point Teaser of the Week: 1-0 last week, 4-1 season

My brother and I’s favorite bet: you take 10 points extra either off the spread or over/under. You combine three different sides with the 10 extra points and all have to hit to win.

Pittsburgh Steelers +7.5, Eagles +17.5, and Bills +14

There’s no way that the Steelers lose by more than a touchdown. I also like both of these home dogs to keep it close.

Game Total of the Week: 1-0 last week, 4-1 season

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans OVER 52

The Titans have scored 106 points over their last three games. The Texans had given up an average of 31.5 points in their first four games. They only gave up 14 to Jacksonville, however, the Jaguars had three trips inside the Houston 8-yard line that yielded zero points and missed two field goals.

College Best Bets: 4-1 last week, 13-10-1 season

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Tulane Green Wave +7 vs. SMU Mustangs (Friday)

The Mustangs are a bit of fool’s gold with one really big win over Memphis, but then two blowouts of atrocious teams and one close win over a bad team. The biggest factor is they lost their second-leading running back (T.J. McDaniel) and leading receiver (Reggie Roberson) for the season to injuries. The Roberson injury is massive. His explosive, big-play ability is what makes the Mustangs’ offense go. I’m going to need to see Shane Buechele do it without Roberson before I’m laying a touchdown to anyone.

Georgia Bulldogs +4.5 at Alabama Crimson Tide

Obviously, the Nick Saban-COVID news is troubling. He has a phenomenal ability to keep his team focused during these huge game weeks and this distraction cannot help. The last five times Alabama has been a touchdown favorite or less at home they are 1-4 Straight Up and 0-4-1 Against The Spread. The last eight times that Alabama has been a touchdown or less favorite anywhere they are 3-5 SU and 1-7 ATS. Georgia is 10-3 ATS in its last thirteen games against Top-10 teams. The Crimson Tide were just torched by a much worse offense in Mississippi, so I think this is a last score wins it game.

Boston College Eagles +14 at Virginia Tech Hokies

The transitive property is not the best strategy for the NFL because of the continuity year over year. However in college football, where at least 25% of the roster is turned over and the majority of starters every year, you have to use what you can. Boston College beat Duke by 20 points and lost a super close game to #5 North Carolina 26-22. Virginia Tech beat Duke by 7 and lost to North Carolina in a game that was more of a blowout than the score seemed by 11. At worst, these teams are equal. You are getting about 10 points of value. The Eagles are also 17-2-1 ATS in the last 20 ACC games as an underdog.
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Marshall Thundering Herd -13 at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

I’ve been on the Marshall bandwagon since Week 1 when freshman quarterback Grant Wells looked poised beyond his years. He has some Tony Romo to his lightning-quick release and deceiving mobility. They also have an explosive, balanced rushing attack. I would have had them in my best bets last week, but I mistakenly thought their game was postponed. I’m not missing the opportunity against a Louisiana Tech team that has three wins, but the teams they have beaten are a combined 2-8 vs. FBS competition, none of which were good teams.

Texas A&M Aggies -6 at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mike Leach is definitely an acquired taste. If you acquire it though, you will run through a wall for the man. However, it does sound like some of the incumbent Bulldogs are not smelling what the mad pirate is cooking. The Aggies are riding high after their biggest win of the Jimbo Fisher era and catch the Bulldogs coming off back-to-back lethargic efforts, scoring just 14 points offensively combined.

Check out the rest of our 2020 Fantasy Football content from our great team of writers.

About Michael Tomlin

Michael Tomlin is an ESPY-nominated, former college football player who stays associated with the game through Fantasy Sports. He has been writing his personal blog,, for three years and it focuses on Fantasy Sports, as well as handicapping. He was born and raised in the DFW Metroplex, and he follows all of the Dallas teams, along with Texas Tech athletics and Manchester City F.C.

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