There was a lot of chalk last week, so how will that affect the 2021-22 NFL Playoffs Divisional Round Football Bets?
I find that you do not want to put too much stock in macro trends like that in a single playoff year. There are years where it is chalk all the way through and years that wild card teams make the Super Bowl.
I think you want to concentrate on long-term trends with teams through an entire season or career. How are the top-seeded coaches off a bye week? How does that quarterback play in that spot as a road dog?
As always, a simple disclaimer: sports betting should be entertainment. The 2021-22 NFL Playoffs Divisional Round Football Bets will not make you rich. Anyone with picks saying they can make you rich is a liar and I would bet against them.
The 2021-22 NFL Playoffs Divisional Round Football Bets will be about having fun wagering on sports while trying to stay even or break a small profit.
All of the information for the 2021 Divisional Round Football Bets is up to date as of January 20th, 2022.
Tomlin’s Tips: 2021-22 NFL Playoffs Divisional Round Football Bets
Best NFL Bets: 4-2 Last Week, 55-41 Season
Each week I will pick my five best bets for the NFL weekend. This is similar to the most famous handicapping contest in the world, The Las Vegas Supercontest, where the winner gets over a million bucks.
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Tennessee Titans -3 vs. Cincinnati Bengals
There are two main factors for me in this game. First, the Bengals just had a “dream-maker” kind of game. They are early in their development process as a team with a playoff win already. The season is already a success. The opposite is the case for the veteran Titans, who know that this might be their last chance, at least for the main group. Secondly, Mike Vrabel is 4-0 SU and ATS as a head coach after a bye week. He has won all four games by at least two touchdowns, averaging a winning margin of almost 21 points and covering the spread by over 19 points per game.
San Francisco 49ers +6.5 at Green Bay Packers
Since joining the 49ers, Jimmy Garoppolo is 34-10 straight up and against the spread when he starts and finishes the game. The average score over those 44 games is 28-20. Only three times have they lost by more than one score, and one was in the Super Bowl when the Chiefs came back from a double-digit deficit. They are 10-3 ATS the last thirteen times they are a road dog. This team just hangs around like Mike McDermott in Rounders. I’m not giving them a touchdown.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 vs. Los Angeles Rams
Matthew Stafford just got the first playoff victory of his career. Tom Brady got his 35th playoff win. Since getting to Tampa Bay, Tom Brady has led the Bucs to an average of 30.9 points per game at home. They are averaging 33.8 points at home in their last 11 home games. If you remove the Saints from those numbers, they go up to 34.5 and 37.2 points per game respectively. Do you think this Rams team can score over 30 points on the Buccaneers now healthy defense?
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Buffalo Bills +3 (BUY IT TO 3) at Kansas City Chiefs
The Bills are a monster offense when Josh Allen is running the ball with authority. While he only ended up with six rushes last week, I think that was more of a gamescript happening. If it was closer, he would have crossed double-digit attempts easily. When Allen has 59 or more rushing yards, the Bills have scored 34 points per game this season. In the eight games this season in which the opposing quarterback has either five attempts rushing or a touchdown, the Chiefs have averaged 24 points per game. Their opponents have averaged almost 26 points per game.
Other NFL Games Picked: 101-81 Season
NFL 10-Point Teaser of the Week: 1-0 Last Week, 12-7 Season
Buccaneers +7, Bills +13, and Chiefs/Bills OVER 43
I think those two are the surest bets to not lose by a touchdown this weekend. Then I like going over the highest total, by far, of the weekend getting the teased amount.
Others I Like: 49ers +16.5, Bengals/Titans OVER 36, and Buccaneers/Rams OVER 37.5 (3-1 Last Week, 98-14 Season)
Game total of the Week: 0-1 Last Week, 14-5 Season
Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans, OVER 46
The Titans average 33 points per game off of a bye week under Mike Vrabel and scored over 30 points per game with Derrick Henry in the lineup. Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase are going to be garbage-time heroes for years to come.
College Best Bets: 0-1 Last Week, 20-21 Bowls, 59-54 Regular Season, 79-75 Overall
That’s it for Tomlin’s Tips, 2021-22 NFL Playoffs Divisional Round Football Bets! Check out our prop bets!