Tomlin’s Tips: 2021 Week 10 Football Bets

by Michael Tomlin
2021 Week 12 Football Bets

After a monster college football week, the 2021 Week 10 football bets are fully profitable.

Adding more college games was the key, as I probably would have just been 2-3 if I held it to five games. All seven picks I added were winners, leading to a +$570 week.

Overall, if you bet $100 on every one of my best bets, you are up $170 on the year. Let’s keep that trend going upward!

As always, a simple disclaimer: sports betting should be entertainment. The 2021 Week 10 Football Bets will not make you rich. Anyone with picks saying they can make you rich is a liar and I would bet against them.

The 2021 Week 10 Football Bets will be about having fun wagering on sports while trying to stay even or break a small profit.

All of the information for the 2021 Week 10 Football Bets is up to date as of November 11th, 2021.

Tomlin’s Tips: 2021 Week 10 Football Bets

Best NFL Bets: 2-3 Last Week, 21-24 Season

Each week I will pick my five best bets for the NFL weekend. This is similar to the most famous handicapping contest in the world, The Las Vegas Supercontest, where the winner gets over a million bucks.
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Las Vegas Raiders +3 vs. Kansas City Chiefs

We are officially halfway through the NFL season, and we need to judge teams for this season and not prior performance. If you take away the names and jerseys, there are absolutely zero reasons that the Raiders should be an underdog in this game. I could be wrong and Mahomes finally figures it out, but this line is flat-out wrong.

Detroit Lions +8.5 at Pittsburgh Steelers

How many games have the Steelers won by more than eight points this season? Oh, it’s zero? Yeah, I am definitely not laying more than a touchdown with that fluky team. Since the weird Week 1, the Steelers went on a three-game losing streak, beat Denver and Seattle with backup quarterbacks, beat Cleveland with Baker hurt, and had the refs hand them a win against Chicago. Detroit will play hard off their bye and keep this game close.

Los Angeles Chargers -2.5 vs. Minnesota Vikings

The Chargers are the team that can beat any mediocre or bad teams but cannot quite get over the hump with the best teams. The Vikings are not one of the best teams.
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New England Patriots -1.5 vs. Cleveland Browns

The Patriots are two last-second field goals and a late fumble from being 8-1 with one of the harder schedules. The Browns were the first team since 1970 to have a defensive, passing, and rushing touchdown all for at least 60 yards in one game last week. That is the definition of a fluky final, making them seem better than they are. Bill Belichick will shatter Baker Mayfield’s confidence.

Philadelphia Eagles +4 at Denver Broncos

Denver is simply not as good as they looked last week. The Cowboys missed every 50/50 decision with fourth downs, as well as blocked a punt inside the Broncos’ 20-yard line and Denver still got the ball. I think that inflated this line up a couple of points past some key numbers.

Other NFL Games Picked: 6-3 Last Week, 44-47 Season

(HOME teams in CAPS)

  • DOLPHINS +7.5 over Ravens
  • COLTS -10 over Jaguars
  • Falcons +9.5 over COWBOYS
  • Bills -12 over JETS
  • TITANS -2.5 over Saints
  • FOOTBALL TEAM +10 over Buccaneers
  • CARDINALS -10 over Panthers
  • Seahawks +3.5 over PACKERS
  • 49ERS +4.5 over Rams

NFL 10-Point Teaser of the Week: 0-1 Last Week, 6-3 Season

Cardinals PK, Bills -2, and Colts PK

I think the big upsets of the past couple of weeks wake up the big favorites this week.

Others I Like: Falcons +19.5, Patriots +8.5, Chargers +7.5, Titans +7.5, Vikings/Chargers OVER 41.5, and Cowboys/Falcons UNDER 66 (5-1 Last Week, 49-5 Season)

Game total of the Week: 1-0 Last Week, 7-2 Season

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Minnesota Vikings, OVER 51.5

Both teams are having pass coverage issues, which is not good when facing each other’s explosive receiving groups. I think this game could get into the 80’s.

College Best Bets: 9-3 Last Week, 37-34 Season

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Houston Cougars -24 at Temple Owls

The Cougars are a really good football team that can really score. Since the fluky Week 1 loss to Texas Tech, Houston has won eight straight games and is scoring almost 42 points per game. Temple has scored just 27 points total in over a month. Clayton Tune is an NFL-ready quarterback prospect for Houston and he has a huge game.

TCU Horned Frogs +13 at Oklahoma State Cowboys

TCU had some scoring issues the past few weeks but that was cured in quarterback Chandler Morris’ first start. The former Arkansas head coach’s son was an amazing prep quarterback in Dallas and showed what he could do given the keys against Baylor. Morris threw for 461 yards and ran for 70 more, totaling three touchdowns in the upset win. The only time Oklahoma State has crossed 32 points was against lowly Kansas. TCU can keep this one close.

Oklahoma Sooners -5.5 at Baylor Bears

Speaking of the Bears, what do we think Caleb Williams will do to that defense if Chandler Morris did that in his first start?

Hawaii Warriors -3 at UNLV Rebels

The Rebels got their first win of the season last week, so this is a classic letdown spot. Once a team gets off of the 0-fer schneid, they tend to coast to the end of the year. Hawaii is coming off a close loss to ranked San Diego State and has been playing well. They take care of business in Vegas.

FAU Owls -6.5 at Old Dominion Monarchs

Do not let two wins against two of the worst teams in the country fool you, Old Dominion is not a good football team. They are more like the team that was 0-6 against FBS competition a couple of weeks ago. The Owls have a decent shot at making the Conference USA Championship Game, so they will not come out flat.
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South Carolina Gamecocks PK at Missouri Tigers

The Gamecocks just blew out Florida. Missouri’s only SEC win was a close game against Vanderbilt. This could be a huge sucker line but I just do not understand why South Carolina isn’t giving almost a touchdown.

Texas A&M Aggies -2.5 at Mississippi Rebels

The Aggies are 7-0 ATS as a road favorite under Jimbo Fisher. Ole Miss’ resume suddenly is not so strong. Their best win was the 1-point squeaker against the should-not-be-ranked Arkansas Razorbacks (who missed a 2-point conversion for the win). Their offense has not looked good the past two weeks as they deal with injuries. On the other sideline, Texas A&M has been on a roll for a month since settling in at quarterback and they continue to roll.

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders -9.5 vs. FIU Panthers

Fade FIU the rest of the year. Their team is ready to jump ship into the transfer portal.

Air Force Falcons -2.5 at Colorado State Rams

I like betting a service academy that just lost to another service academy as a favorite. They are automatically downgraded in the spread for losing as a favorite, even though those games do not necessarily get decided by talent. This line should be closer to a touchdown.

That’s it for Tomlin’s Tips, 2021 Week 10 Football bets! Check out our Fantasy rankings!

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