Tomlin’s Tips: 2021 Week 8 Football Bets

by Michael Tomlin
2021 Week 12 Football Bets

Last week was huge for my NFL picks with a sizable profit! The 2021 Week 8 Football Bets might have even better options with more games to handicap.

If you bet $100 on every one of my NFL picks last week, then you were up $870. My college picks were close to even as well, but this week I think we can be profitable all the way around.

As always, a simple disclaimer: sports betting should be entertainment. The 2021 Week 8 Football Bets will not make you rich. Anyone with picks saying they can make you rich is a liar and I would bet against them.

The 2021 Week 8 Football Bets will be about having fun wagering on sports while trying to stay even or break a small profit.

All of the information for the 2021 Week 8 Football Bets is up to date as of October 28th, 2021.

Tomlin’s Tips: 2021 Week 8 Football Bets

Best NFL Bets: 3-2 Last Week, 15-20 Season

Each week I will pick my five best bets for the NFL weekend. This is similar to the most famous handicapping contest in the world, The Las Vegas Supercontest, where the winner gets over a million bucks.
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Seattle Seahawks -3 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

I did not think I would be saying this is 2021: Geno Smith has not been that bad. Seattle is positioning him in a spot to succeed and not have to take too many risks (just 6.7 intended air yards per attempt, 4.1 completed air yards per completion). The Seahawks will have a similar game plan to the past two weeks: make the other team screw up. The Jaguars are coming in high off a bye and a win in London. That win was one of the luckier wins of the year, with two consecutive 55-yard field goals to clinch it. The Jags are off the schneid of being winless and can now lose their focus along with their head coach. This is also a must-win for Seattle with the Packers next week, two games against the Cardinals as well as another matchup with the Rams down the road. They do not have their first-round pick so there will be no tanking.

New England Patriots +6 at Los Angeles Chargers

Since the 3-interception outing against New Orleans, Mac Jones has been the best rookie quarterback by far. He is completing over 73% of his passes, has a 9-to-3 touchdown to interception ratio, and his quarterback rating is over 110. He has dueled with Tom Brady and Dak Prescott down to being unlucky in two losses. I think he can duel with Justin Herbert, and Bill Belichick will have enough scheme to keep it close.
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New Orleans Saints +6 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

According to, the Saints will play at home as the underdogs by 6 points against the defending Super Bowl Champion Buccaneers at the Caesars Superdome. Head Coach Sean Payton is 18-10 against Tampa Bay in the regular season, having won the last five. We can expect a tight game which also comes with exciting news for Louisiana sports bettors, as the chairman of the Louisiana Gaming Control Board, expects a statewide launch of retail sports betting by November 1 with a tentative of having online betting a few weeks later. I think Payton can keep Jameis in check and keep it within a touchdown.

Denver Broncos -3 vs. Washington Football Team

This is more of a fade of the Football Team. They are two miraculous fourth-quarter comebacks from being 0-7. Even when their team plays well, they lose by two touchdowns (out-gained Green Bay by over 120 yards last week). Their quarterback play is just horrendous, especially in the Red Zone. Denver is in a good spot off extra rest and gets their top wide receiver, Jerry Jeudy, back.

Atlanta Falcons -2.5 vs. Carolina Panthers

The top-rated quarterback by Expected Yards per Attempt (a more in-depth quarterback rating) over the last month is Matt Ryan. I am not going to lie, I had to check three different resources to confirm that the Falcons were 3-3. Atlanta is the miracle Washington comeback I referenced earlier from being on a 4-game win streak. Were those four teams terrible? Yes. Is Carolina terrible without Christian McCaffrey? YES! Carolina is on a four-game losing streak and was just blown out by the Giants. Atlanta has figured out how to use Kyle Pitts and gets it done.

Other NFL Games Picked: 7-1 Last Week, 32-40 Season

(HOME teams in CAPS)

  • Packers +7.5 over CARDINALS
  • Dolphins +13 over BILLS
  • LIONS +4 over Eagles
  • COLTS -1 over Titans
  • Rams -14 over TEXANS
  • JETS +10.5 over Bengals
  • Steelers +4 over BROWNS
  • 49ers -4 over BEARS
  • Cowboys -1.5 over VIKINGS
  • CHIEFS -9.5 over Giants

NFL 10-Point Teaser of the Week: 1-0 Last Week, 6-1 Season

Bengals -0.5, Chiefs +0.5, and Browns/Steelers, UNDER 55

Cincinnati is on a roll and playing a backup quarterback. The Chiefs are not losing at home to the weakly Giants. The Browns/Steelers game may finish with 20 total points.

Others I Like: Rams -4, Patriots +16, Seahawks +7, Bills -3, Seahawks/Jaguars UNDER 54.5, and Rams/Texans OVER 35 (5-1 Last Week, 38-4 Season)

Game Total of the Week: 1-0 Last Week, 6-1 Season

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints, UNDER 51.5

The Saints adding Mark Ingram shows how much Sean Payton has changed his offensive mindset to a grind-it-out, slow-it-down type of game. If you are going to beat Tom Brady, you must limit the possessions.

College Best Bets: 4-5 Last Week, 25-27 Season

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Oklahoma Sooners -19.5 vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

What would be the reason to bet Tech here? If it is because of the Sooners’ troubles in Lawrence last week and that Tech destroyed the Jayhawks, I suggest you are using false causation. Oklahoma destroyed TCU by 21 and beat Texas, two teams that blew out the Red Raiders. The Kansas game was a “wake-up call” for Oklahoma and now they get a team and fan base more worried about who their next coach is going to be.

SMU Mustangs +1 at Houston Cougars

I may be falling for the sucker line of the week but I truly do not get this number. Houston has won six straight games. All six teams are under-.500 including FCS Grambling. The only FBS games each team has had are correlated: SMU beat TCU easily, who blew out Texas Tech, which beat Houston by nearly 20 points. The Mustangs stay undefeated.

Clemson Tigers -9.5 vs. Florida State Seminoles

I mean, the Tigers are not going to go winless against the spread right?

Ohio State Buckeyes -18.5 vs. Penn State Nittany Lions

James Franklin is 0-7 in road games against Top-10 teams and only 2-5 ATS. The Buckeyes are back in the College Football Playoff picture and can boost that resume with a dominating win here.
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish -3 vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

The Irish will definitely be focused here as this will be their last test of the season. With a win, they would likely finish 11-1 with just the loss to undefeated Cincinnati, meaning a New Year’s Day bowl for Notre Dame. Notre Dame has won 35 straight games as a favorite. Over that streak, only six times have they been favored less than seven. They won those games by an average of 22 points per game, with no win by fewer than 14.

Iowa State Cyclones -7 at West Virginia Mountaineers

The Cyclones control their own destiny to get to the Big XII Championship Game. West Virginia is getting a little too much love for beating TCU at the end of a really tough stretch.

Iowa Hawkeyes +4 at Wisconsin Badgers

Once again, the Badgers are favored and I am not really sure why. This is the same as the Oklahoma/Tech false causation. Wisconsin beat Purdue the week after Purdue beat Iowa. Well what about how Iowa beat Penn State and Penn State blew out Wisconsin? The Hawkeyes have won three straight games as an underdog, all by double digits. Top-10 underdogs to unranked teams are 12-3 ATS, currently on a 9-1 stretch.

That’s it for Tomlin’s Tips, 2021 Week 8 Football bets! Check out our Fantasy Football Week 8 Rankings!

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