I am absolutely scorching hot in my college picks as we dive into the 2023 NFL Week 4 football bets.
After a 6-1 week in my NCAA bets, my record is up to 18-5 on the young season. That’s good for a positive 12.5-unit profit.
Now if only I could figure out my Lock of the Week. I changed up my mindset and moved my best bet (New England) off of it thinking I needed a change. Well that blew up in my face.
I am going outside the box here on a pick that I have seen almost no one making. I am also going with a couple of college teams that had unlucky breaks last weekend.
As always, a simple disclaimer: sports betting should be entertainment 2023 NFL Week 4 football bets will not make you rich. Anyone with picks saying they can make you rich is a liar and I would bet against them.
The 2023 NFL Week 4 football bets will be about having fun wagering on sports while trying to stay even or break a small profit.
All of the information for the 2023 NFL Week 4 Football bets is up to date as of September 28th, 2023.
Tomlin’s Tips: 2023 NFL Week 4 Football Bets
Best NFL Bets
Each week I will play my five best bets for the NFL weekend. This is similar to the most famous handicapping content in the world, The Las Vegas Supercontest, where the winner gets over a million bucks.
The Tomlin Lock of the Week (0-3 season, -6.6 Units)
Minnesota Vikings -3 at Carolina Panthers
We have two 0-3 teams playing but the road team is the favorite. What makes me lay with them? Well, I think the Vikings have become drastically under-valued.
Minnesota lost Week 1 to Tampa Bay which does not seem great. However, remember that they lost the turnover battle 3-0 including one in each Red Zone, and still only lost by three points.
They then lost back-to-back coin flip games in which they made bad decisions late against playoff teams from last year. Now they are playing the team that picked first overall in the draft with either a hobbled Bryce Young or ginger Red Rifle Andy Dalton.
The Vikings are 5th in offensive EPA per play and 7th in success rate. They will score all day on Carolina who cannot score back.
To see the rest of Tomlin's Football picks and get direct access to him on Discord, become an All-Access Member!
If you're already a member, sign in.
That’s it for Tomlin’s Tips: 2023 NFL Week 4 Football Bets. Check out our award-winning Fantasy Football rankings!