Under-the-Radar Dynasty Baseball Prospect: Oscar Colas

by Alex Welch
Dynasty Baseball Prospect: Oscar Colas

This week we're looking at a player who is praised in his organizational rankings but hasn't quite caught up among overall dynasty projections. We're talking about Dynasty Baseball Prospect: Oscar Colas.

Colas is consistently ranked among the top Chicago White Sox prospects heading into 2023. He doesn't always receive the same attention in dynasty rankings, though. F6P's Mike Schneider gave him a huge boost in his end-of-season prospect rankings, but at No. 124 Colas has yet to even crack the top 100. Dave Eddy put him at No. 396 overall in his latest dynasty baseball rankings.

Some of these rankings might be due to an unorthodox journey so far for the 24-year-old. Colas played in Cuba early in his career, and then he went on to spend three seasons with the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks, playing mostly in the Japanese minor leagues from ages 18 to 20.

The Cuban defector ultimately encountered some challenges making it to the majors due to issues with his SoftBank contract. That led to him being out of baseball for two seasons from 2020-2021. The White Sox signed him in the international pool and finally put him back on the field in 2022.

Colas put up a solid first year in the minors even as he moved through three levels in the White Sox organization. This promising start to his MLB career should have dynasty owners looking into acquiring him soon.

Under-the-Radar Dynasty Baseball Prospect: Oscar Colas

2022 in Review

SeasonLevelGPAHRRRBISBBB%K%ISOAVGOBPSLGwRC+
2022A+592687374218.20%20.1%.164.311.369.475129
2022AA5122514393316.20%24.0%.257.306.364.563139
2022AAA73325416.10%36.4%.258.387.424.645182

Colas began the season with High-A Winston-Salem. Over 59 games, he hit .311 with 7 HRs and 42 RBIs. He finished without a single hit in just 13 of those games.

That earned him a bump up to Double-A Birmingham. That’s when the power really showed up.

In 51 games with Birmingham, Colas slashed .306/.364/.563 with 14 HRs, 33 RBIs and 139 wRC+. He finished that stint with the Barons with 20 multi-hit games.

His 137 wRC+ through three levels in 2022 put him slightly ahead of some of the most popular names among dynasty prospects including Jackson Chourio, Jasson Dominguez and Ceddanne Rafaela.

Only 15 qualified hitting prospects produced 20 HRs, a minimum .300 average and an ISO above .200 in 2022. Colas joined that group that included Corbin Carroll, Matt Mervis and Elly De La Cruz. That’s some elite company for his first year in the minors.

Colas also ranked No. 15 among all hitting prospects (min. 400 PA) in hits last season.

Looking Ahead

He’s a work in progress after a two-year layoff and an adjustment to an entirely new league. One thing we know for sure – Colas must cut down on his strikeouts. He struck out four times as often as he walked in the Japanese minors. That trend continued in Double-A, and his K% ballooned to 36.4% at Triple-A (keep in mind he only played seven games there).

The jury is out on what his full potential looks like. Fangraphs give Colas a 40-grade hit tool, while Baseball America puts him at 55. But every scout seems to agree his 60-grade power is real.

Steamer projections see Colas hitting .263/.313/.458 with 17 HRs and 53 RBIs in 399 PA next season. ZiPS looks a bit different, on which Fangraphs’ Dan Szymborski said, “Some may be disappointed by the Oscar Colas projection, but the fact remains that he’s incredibly risky right now, a player with one professional season in the United States and at levels for which he was not young.”

ZiPS does have Colas hitting 21 HRs and 77 RBIs in more playing time than Steamers projects but with a .237/.283/.408 slash line.

But we shouldn’t be too fixated on 2023 if we’re looking at long-term potential for dynasty leagues. No one expects Colas to step in and dominate after one season of minor league ball.

The addition of Andrew Benintendi will impact those projections. However, this team clearly still needs outfield help. Luis Robert has yet to play in more than 98 games in a single season. Eloy Jimenez also continues to struggle with injuries. Colas will likely get several chances to show what he has to offer in 2023. Dynasty owners should look into acquiring him now before he jumps in more rankings.


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