What Is Elijah Mitchell’s True Dynasty Value?

by Hunter Bolding
2022 Fantasy Football Week 16 Sleepers Heat Check

So you play in a Dynasty Fantasy Football league. It's highly likely that the running back from San Francisco, Elijah Mitchell, was drafted. So you either have him, or you can trade for him. The real question is whether or not that's worth it for your team. What is Elijah Mitchell's true Dynasty Football value?

Kyle Shanahan's offense is incredibly fantasy-friendly, but it depends on which players get the ball. Throughout history, we've seen guys like Alfred MorrisSteve SlatonRaheem Mostert, and countless others rise from obscurity to Fantasy Football stardom. This past week, Elijah Mitchell was the latest to join that club. Mostert injured his knee and is out for the season, and the other running back on the team we thought would be a stud, was inactive.

It was classic "Shanahan-igans". There's plenty of you out there thinking that you might have the next RB1 on the team with Mitchell. The easy answer is "not so fast". The complex answer might be somewhere in the middle. It's definitely worth it to hang on to him, unless someone sweeps you off your feet with an offer.

This might be a dynasty slanted article but you can use the information here for your redraft league as well. Mitchell was heavily used against a banged-up and frankly, lesser Detroit Lions defense. This was after Mostert left the game, where it seemed like he was going to run for 150+ yards against them. The 49ers won't always have a cupcake like that tossed their way.

Trey Sermon was the talk of the Fantasy Football world in pre-draft season, but that all died out with his inactive in week 1. I would expect to see a bit of a mix of the two. We all can see how Shanahan uses his running backs usually. Whoever looks the best, is going to get the work.

What Is Elijah Mitchell's True Dynasty Value?

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Elijah Mitchell Might Win You Your League...This Year

That might seem like hyperbole, but with where you drafted him, you can't be mad about the value of Mitchell now. He's in the mix for the RB1 spot in one of the best and (whenever Trey Lance takes over) most high-powered offenses in the league. It's a dream situation for a guy you probably took in the 3rd-4th round of your rookie draft. That alone means that you're already getting better value for him than previously thought.

Looking forward, Mitchell has value because Mostert is a free agent after the season. If he takes over this backfield or gets a split with Sermon, that's still an insane value.

The Jeff Wilson Jr./JaMycal Hasty Elephant In The Room

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Here's the other issue with Mitchell that might give you pause on anointing him the league-winner already: Jeff Wilson Jr. and JaMycal Hasty. These two guys proved last year that they can ball out with the best of them in Shanahan's offense. That was without starting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo, so the running lanes weren't exactly open either.

Wilson is a good back that can punish a defense. Hasty has value as a pass-catcher but doesn't have the, albeit short, track record of Wilson Jr.

So if you're counting that prize money, holding that title belt for your league over your head, or any other pre-determined championship celebration, you might want to rethink that. The long and the short of it is that Kyle Shanahan is unpredictable.

No one and I really mean no one, guessed that Trey Sermon would be inactive in Week 1. The 49ers used a third-round pick on him in the 2021 draft. That's still high draft capital for a running back.

Sermon showed in college at Ohio State that he can be incredibly productive. He averaged over 7 yards per carry in his final two seasons and scored 14 touchdowns in another. The likeliest outcome here is that both guys are valuable and fantasy-friendly, but neither overtakes the other. In that case, you should still be jazzed that you have Mitchell on your team and that you can get a piece of this 49ers offense.

What Do You Do With Mitchell?

Depending on your roster, your league settings, and other factors, I'd say that Mitchell is a tentative start this week against the Eagles. That defense looked like world-beaters against the Falcons, but they might be somewhere in between.

If you paid up on waivers or have the need in your FLEX slot, Mitchell is likely worth the shot still. You could get burned by Shanahan when Hasty or Sermon just take the work because they're the hot hand. On the other hand, you could get the hot hand, and ride it to victory this week.

Temper your expectations, be on your toes, and be ready to move him if you feel like the value is there.

For more on rankings or start questions, check out Fantasy Six Pack's Week 2 Rankings.

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