Will Bo Nix unlock Javonte Williams? | 2024 Denver Broncos Fantasy Football Draft Guide

by Mike Bonni
Will Bo Nix unlock Javonte Williams?

Once again, the Broncos are in rebuild mode. What does this mean for their fantasy football value? Can Bo Nix unlock Javonte Williams? Or does Zach Wilson win the job? Will there be a WR we want to start, or even draft? All of this and more will be answered in the 2024 Denver Broncos Fantasy Football Draft Guide.

The Denver Broncos did it. They told Russell Wilson to hit the bricks. The Broncos didn't want him to the point where they were willing (and did) to take on a historic dead cap hit.

Russell Wilson isn't the only one Denver sent packing. Jerry Jeudy (former first-round pick) was sent to the Cleveland Browns (for basically nothing). With those losses, the Broncos were able to bring in a "franchise" QB in the draft (hopefully). Bo Nix should be able to win the job over newly signed QB Zach Wilson. They also drafted Bo Nix's number-one target at Oregon (Troy Franklin).

As you can see, the Broncos look to be in "rebuild" mode again. Since Peyton Manning, the QB position has been dreadful. This goes to Bronco fans, let's hope Bo Nix turns into the "franchise" QB. Will he? Plus other burning questions will be answered. So continue reading the 2024 Denver Broncos Fantasy Football Draft Guide.

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Will Bo Nix unlock Javonte Williams?

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*Be on the lookout in training camp*

*There are rumblings that Javonte Williams will be a cap-casualty. If this is the case, forget everything I just said here. Jaleel McLaughlin would be worth drafting as a possible flex option. As for Samaje Perine, bench depth.*

Let's just go with Javonte Williams will stay a Bronco (for now). Can Bo Nix unlock his potential?

What if I told you Bo Nix targeted RBs (@Oregon) at 25%? That would've been top-5 in the NFL in 2023. Even with three RBs vying for touches, there is still room for Javonte Williams to garner a 12+% target share (He did have 13% in 2023).

Not only did Javonte Williams have a 13% target share but there were a few other stats that popped out to me. He was top-10 in RZ touches, breakaway run rate, and breakaway runs (according to player profiler). In 2023, Javonte Williams was coming off a brutal ACL injury (2022). He was eased back into the rotation, but when he was given his healthy snaps (53%, W. 7-18) he was RB18. Javonte was averaging 12.9 FPPG during this time.

Let's not forget that in Sean Payton's offense, the RB garners a ton of targets. Just look at Alvin Kamara. Even if he gets the "Mark Ingram" role in that offense (avg. RB22), he will still smash his current ADP (RB30). As I just said, Javonte Williams is going as RB30.

To me, that is low. Will Bo Nix unlock Javonte Williams? It's up in the air. I'm not expecting a top-12 RB season, but I do expect him to be an RB2 and smash his ADP.

Is Bo Nix Worth Drafting, Or Does Zach Wilson Steal the Job?

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There are rumors that Zach Wilson is looking sharp in camp. If those rumors are true, expect him to have the job at the beginning of the year.

Do not draft Zach Wilson.

Eventually, Bo Nix will take the job. With that being said, he is nothing more than a dynasty draft asset until further notice. If he can win the job right away, there is a possibility that Bo Nix is a low-end QB2 in S.F. drafts. Bo has a case for starting right away. Although it took him five years to eclipse the 4000-yard mark (concerning), there are still aspects to his game that we like.

Bo Nix sports a 66.4 career completion % (74.5% w/Oregon). In 2023(45-3 4500), Bo Nix completed 77.4% of his passes (tied for 1st in 2023). Good enough for the 15th highest of all time.

The potential (despite the age) is there. The draft stock is there. So does Bo Nix win the job? If So, is he worth drafting?

I do believe Bo Nix wins the job from the start, which means he should be drafted as a low-end QB2 in S.F. drafts. In Dynasty, please draft him. Don't go out of your way to get him, but I don't expect people to be doing that.

Should We Draft a Courtland Sutton or Any WR from the Broncos?

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In Redraft, there is one person worth drafting. To be honest, it's not even a sexy pick in 2023.

Yes! Courtland Sutton should be drafted (as a depth piece). Currently going as WR49 (depth), this a perfect spot for him to be. You can rely on his health (barring 2020), he has played in 16 games/year. Although healthy, his production is brutal.

In five healthy seasons, Sutton has one WR2 finish to his name (WR18). He has one WR3 finish (WR35, 2023) and the rest of his finishes have been outside of the top 36. His finish in 2023 (WR35) only came about because he caught 10 TDs. How do you finish that low and score that much (LOL)? DO NOT EXPECT THIS TO HAPPEN AGAIN. That TD season was an outlier. In Sutton's other seasons, he is only averaging 3.5 TDs/year.

As for the other WRs, they are nothing more than dynasty options.

Troy Franklin has the most intrigue. With Bo Nix, Troy Franklin garnered a 20% target share. He averaged 102 targets (71 catches) with 1125 yards and 11.5 TDs. He should be a sneaky dynasty pick. In Redraft, he could be a waiver pickup eventually.

I don't see Marvin Mims making a difference. He is just another guy it seems like. It is in your best interest to leave him for deep dynasty leagues.

Final Thoughts

All in all, this Broncos offense is not a sexy one for fantasy football. It is in your best interest to not go out of your way to draft players from this team.

For redraft, Courtland Sutton can be drafted as a depth piece. Javonte Williams (unless he gets cut) should be the best draft piece on this roster. Jaleel McLaughlin could be a steal depending on Javonte Williams' situation. Be on the lookout for that.

This team is better suited for dynasty drafts. You got Bo Nix who could turn out as a "franchise" QB. If that can be done, he will have to throw to someone. In comes his friend from Oregon, Troy Franklin. He should be drafted in dynasty startups, he could be a steal.

I hope I was able to answer some of your burning questions about the Denver Broncos. That should do it for the 2024 Denver Broncos Fantasy Football Draft Guide.


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